Bloomberg Ignores the Evidence on Bond ETFs

By Mike McNamee

September 26, 2014

In response to “Pimco ETF Probe Spotlighting $270 Billion Market Vexing FSB,” we posted the following comment on Bloomberg News’ website:

As this story notes, ICI's empirical research shows that the vast majority of ETF market activity does not trigger activity in the underlying markets. It is not correct to assert that every bond ETF trade requires someone to buy or sell bonds. That should help allay concerns about any systemic effects of ETF trading.

More generally, however, the sweeping assertion that “trading in ETFs is fueling price swings that may become more severe in a downturn” is not substantiated in the story. There is no data—not even an anecdote—in the story demonstrating that ETF trading has driven prices in underlying bond markets. In fact, the vast majority of research on collective investments like ETFs shows just the opposite—fund investors tend to respond after prices have moved in the underlying markets, as we point out here and here.

We also have prepared a careful study demonstrating the statistical and analytic errors in the “taper tantrum” paper that this article cites at length.

Debates over financial stability need to be informed by data and research. At ICI, we're doing our part: check out www.ici.org/financialstability.

Mike McNamee is ICI’s chief public communications officer.

TOPICS: Bond Fund Bonds Exchange-Traded Funds Federal Reserve Financial Markets Financial Stability Fund Regulation Interest Rate International Trading

Why Regulated Funds Are a Relatively Stable Source of Foreign Investment for Emerging Economies

By Chris Plantier

September 26, 2014

The press and policymakers focus a great deal of attention on flows to U.S. and European regulated mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), in part because these funds are perhaps the most easily observed and readily measured players in capital markets.

A Look Inside ETFs and ETF Trading

By Rochelle Antoniewicz and Jane Heinrichs

September 23, 2014

Investors in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are trading shares with each other far more than they are turning to authorized participants to create or redeem shares.

Securities Lending by Mutual Funds, ETFs, and Closed-End Funds: Are the Risks Systemic?

By Bob Grohowski

September 18, 2014

The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Financial Research (OFR), and the Financial Stability Board (FSB) are charged with identifying systemic risks.

Securities Lending by Mutual Funds, ETFs, and Closed-End Funds: Regulators’ Concerns

By Bob Grohowski

September 17, 2014

This post is the third in a series that focuses on securities lending by U.S. regulated funds—mutual funds, exchange traded funds (ETFs), and closed-end funds that are registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940.

Statement of the Investment Company Institute at Senate Finance Committee Hearing on “Retirement Savings 2.0: Updating Savings Policy for the Modern Economy”

By Brian Reid

September 16, 2014

This statement was given on behalf of ICI by Brian Reid, chief economist, at the Senate Finance Committee’s hearing on “Retirement Savings 2.0: Updating Savings Policy for the Modern Economy.” For more information, see ICI’s full written testimony.

Securities Lending by Mutual Funds, ETFs, and Closed-End Funds: The Market

By Bob Grohowski and Sean Collins

September 16, 2014

As the potential risks of securities lending are discussed and debated by the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Financial Research (OFR), and the Financial Stability Board (FSB), it is important to try to understand both the overall size of the securities lending market and the share of it attributable to different participants.

Securities Lending by Mutual Funds, ETFs, and Closed-End Funds: The Basics

By Bob Grohowski

September 15, 2014

The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) recently announced that it has directed its staff to “undertake a more focused analysis of industry-wide products and activities to assess potential risks associated with the asset management industry.”

Happy Birthday ERISA! Congratulations on 40 Years

By Sarah Holden and Elena Barone Chism

September 2, 2014

Today marks the 40th birthday of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA). Signed into law on September 2, 1974, ERISA introduced bold steps to safeguard Americans’ employer-sponsored pensions and created the individual retirement account (IRA). Assets earmarked for retirement totaled $0.4 trillion at year-end 1974 (see the figure below). At this modest start, private-sector defined benefit (DB) plans accounted for 35 percent of the total; federal, state, and local plans for 34 percent; private-sector defined contribution (DC) plans for 17 percent; annuities for 13 percent; and there was a mere glimmer of IRA assets by year-end. Currently, total U.S. retirement assets are $23.0 trillion, and their composition has shifted considerably over the past 40 years.

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